Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.212333 0.239615 0.268496 0.301287 0.337426 0.375978 0.420152
2025-07-20 0.180578 0.218224 0.260357 0.310800 0.369329 0.434874 0.513596
2025-07-27 0.154544 0.198248 0.249569 0.313835 0.391675 0.482392 0.595567
2025-08-03 0.136722 0.184927 0.243979 0.320865 0.417466 0.533899 0.683825
2025-08-10 0.123405 0.175105 0.240886 0.329539 0.444553 0.587264 0.776069
2025-08-17 0.108558 0.161318 0.230927 0.327848 0.457414 0.622558 0.846529
2025-08-24 0.096778 0.150171 0.223030 0.327563 0.471166 0.658687 0.918706
2025-08-31 0.086614 0.140067 0.215378 0.326514 0.483105 0.692196 0.988061
2025-09-07 0.080166 0.134593 0.213521 0.332958 0.505059 0.739408 1.076930
2025-09-14 0.072823 0.126958 0.207755 0.333097 0.517725 0.773973 1.149405
2025-09-21 0.066436 0.120121 0.202494 0.333343 0.530132 0.808193 1.222140
2025-09-28 0.060819 0.113929 0.197626 0.333628 0.542249 0.842053 1.295113
2025-10-05 0.056387 0.109433 0.195279 0.337927 0.561013 0.886918 1.386614
2025-10-12 0.053340 0.106993 0.195985 0.346930 0.587197 0.943475 1.496943
2025-10-19 0.049335 0.102452 0.192851 0.349486 0.603384 0.985671 1.587523
2025-10-26 0.046562 0.099850 0.192711 0.356775 0.627141 1.039873 1.697493
2025-11-02 0.044358 0.098074 0.193800 0.366047 0.654304 1.100018 1.818110
2025-11-09 0.040580 0.092889 0.188493 0.364085 0.663026 1.131870 1.896531
2025-11-16 0.037402 0.088543 0.184319 0.363713 0.674154 1.167613 1.981751
2025-11-23 0.034410 0.084253 0.179891 0.362536 0.683711 1.200975 2.064021
2025-11-30 0.032734 0.082530 0.180101 0.369562 0.707308 1.257353 2.183842
2025-12-07 0.030354 0.079044 0.176668 0.369706 0.718971 1.294663 2.274308
2025-12-14 0.028190 0.075798 0.173439 0.369970 0.730727 1.332328 2.366203